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IT Stocks: Up, Up and Up...

Senthuran

In  secondary  capital market, stock price movement  of  any scrip  depends on the following : financial  performance  of the company, industry performance, dividend/bonus record and market preference. The above factors can be assessed through the information, which is already available. However, another crucial factor which determines share price of any  company is  its future growth potential. That is a share price  will move  either upwards or downwards depending upon the  future outlook of the industry and company.

 

During the last millennium - especially the last decade - IT stocks  were  much preferred by the stock  market  investors (primary  as well as secondary) since these companies had a bright future, thanks to the Y2K issue. Further, compared to other  cyclical industries (sugar, cement, for example),  IT companies  had a regular flow of income.  Another advantage Indian IT stocks enjoyed was the global cost benefits, since India  has  the world's second English  speaking  population with  relatively  cheaper manpower. This made  most  of  the overseas  players  to source their  IT  needs  (specifically software) from India.

 

Another indirect reason for the IT stock preference was  the Indian government's, (both central as well as states) thrust support provided for the IT industry. Specially, five Indian states (Maharastra, Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, Gujarat  and Delhi) started promoting IT in a competitive fashion and  in the process developing specific IT Parks in the country.

 

Now that the Y2K theme is slowly fading away, the future  of IT stocks were in crisis. In fact, many projected a downward journey of these stocks. However, It stocks  disproved the predictions.  (There were small falls during early  January 2000.) Why and how?

 

Though  the Y2K projects are almost over, IT  companies  are finding  other  fruitful areas to function and  sustain.  IT companies  find  telecom, internet,  e-commerce,  insurance, e-banking,  entertainment, education etc. to be the new  big growth  areas.  There  can be found huge  potential  for  IT companies  in  the  above areas. This is one  of  the  major reasons  for the IT stocks gaining the same favour  for  the stock  markets, not only in India, but all over  the  globe. The fact is that IT firms swiftly changed the focus  without leaving any time gap for transition, thus, the remain as the preferred flavour of the market players.

 Another  reason for IT company shares to gain importance  is  that,  many  bulk players like  financial  institutions  and  mutual  funds  prefer IT stocks. In fact, few  mutual  funds have created special IT-based funds. Thus, IT stocks  remain as a darling of investors in this millennium too, as long as there can be found a craze for technology stocks.