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Development: Meaning, Measurement and Strategies - Part six of ten

Dr Y Subba Reddy, Faculty, Institute for Financial Management and Research (IFMR), Chennai.

Thatcherism

 

In the 1970s, Britain appeared to be locked into descent and decay and looked as though it was falling apart. Inflation was running at 24 percent. The trade unions exerted undue influence and were responsible for a fall of the government. Constant strikes gave unions a stranglehold on the economy and immobilized the country. The incentive structure was distorted with very high marginal rates of up to 98 percent. People in Britain feared that their country was becoming East Germany of the Western world. The mixed economy was severely malfunctioning. The wisdom and knowledge implied in a high degree of government control were proving inadequate to the reality. Along with the high inflation, unemployment was on the increase and the welfare state and loss-making nationalized industries were demonstrating a voracious appetite for taxpayers' funds. The balance of payments was in perpetual crisis and the Pound was under constant pressure. The combination of inflation, slow growth, labor conflict, and social discontent made a basic change imminent. Matters further worsened in 1973 and 1974. The oil crisis in 1973 hit Britain very hard and on the top of it the strike by coal miners stoked the raging fire. Coal and power supplies were so disrupted that British industry could work only three days a week. By the end of 1978, the country was again in crisis when the public-sector employees struck. Hospital workers went out, and medical care had to be severely rationed. Garbage was piling up in the streets.

 

The Falkland War transformed British politics and helped set the scene for Thatcher Revolution. Thatcherism, which came to represent Margaret Thatcher's policies of a constraining of a welfare state and government spending, a commitment to the reduction of direct government intervention in the economy, a sell-off of government-owned businesses, a contrived drive to reduce absurdity and punitively high tax rates, and a commitment to reduce the government's deficit has began to hold its sway. The strike of coal miners in 1984, despite its intense pressure and disruption couldn't stop the Thatcher's revolution. Privatization is an important element of Thatcherism. British Telecom was privatized first and was reoriented to focus on the needs and preferences of consumers rather than the producer. By 1992, some two thirds of state-owned industries had moved into private sector. Altogether, 46 major businesses, with 900,000 employees, had been privatized, and the government's 'revenue' was well over $30 billion.

 

The Thatcher years turned the Britain from being a producer-led into a consumer-led economy and it was made a competitive economy. Thatcher's policies have fundamentally altered the basic institutional relationship that had defined Britain since 1945, and that had brought the country to a stand still in 1979. In that year, 1274 working days were lost to strikes for every thousand people working. By 1990, that figure was down to 108. The political and economic culture in Britain had been permanently altered by shifting the emphasis from state responsibility to individual responsibility, and sought to give first priority to initiative, incentives, and wealth generation rather than redistribution and equality. Another important contribution of Thatcherism was that it had shown to others particularly other Western European countries the path to redeem themselves from the excesses of the states.

 

In Italy, the ENI, which was a national champion and a paragon of mixed economy, was losing money by 1980s. The company was under constant pressure from Italy's political parties, which regarded it both as a source of funds and as a prize in terms of patronage. The company was not able to function as a coherent business. In 1992, it nearly failed to meet its payroll necessitating urgent steps. The restructure of the company started with selling off unproductive assets, changing the management, and focusing the company not on meeting the interests of politicians but on creating value for shareholders, although at the time the shareholder was the state. In 1995, ENI shares were offered to the public on the Milan, New York, and London exchanges.

 

Japan: A New Super Economic Power

 

At the end of the World War II, Japan was a devastated nation, humiliated by absolute defeat. Its industry was in ruins and a third of its urban housing was nothing more than ashes and rubble. The country existed at a bare subsistence level. It s people were demoralized and adrift, their lives torn apart. By the end of 1940s, the US occupation made a reverse course and began to focus on promoting Japanese economic recovery due to both the cost burden and the emerging cold war. As a first step, the high inflation was extinguished. The Korean war, beginning in 1950, turned Japan into a supply base for the American forces on the Korean peninsula and stimulated an export boom. The early 1950s were the beginning of the recovery. It was only in mid-1950s that Japan rose from recovery into sustained economic growth, which became the central national objective.

 

There were many factors in Japanese rise to economic super power. It was already a relatively developed country before World War II. The US occupation implemented the land reform and broke up the Zaibatsu, the great industrial and financial combinations. In the postwar, the fundamentals were right as it had a large educated workforce, low inflation, and a very high savings rate. American power had demonstrated the centrality of technology, and Japanese companies set out on a forced-pace campaign to obtain and absorb technology from America and Europe. Firms sought continuing quality improvement as a competitive weapon and invested in ever-greater scale in mass production in order to win market share. All this was sustained on values that included an incredible work ethic, an extraordinarily intense identification with the firm, a shared sense of national identity, a desire to live better.

 

Japan had a market system that was characterized by a particular government-corporate collaboration. It achieved growth and standard of living objectives that, despite the often intense competition among Japanese firms, added up to a system that came to be known as Japan Inc. It was one in which government bureaucrats often played a dominating role through regulation and something more ineffable but nevertheless potent: administrative guidance. In the Japanese system, the tight coordination between government and business was accepted as the natural order and was reinforced by the precariousness of Japan's position. The Ministry of International Trade and Industry (MITI) played the role of a single, potent agency and coordinated both external and domestic industrial strategy. It aimed not only to help firms adapt to world export markets but also to help them take the greatest advantage of them. It channeled information and knowledge and facilitated the flow of new technologies. It utilized an array of tools such as price setting, quotas for imports and market share, licenses, quality standards, industry associations, networks, and administrative guidance to achieve its objectives. It worked closely with industrial-sector associations, took their advice, and sought to promote the overall sector.

 

For the most part, the Japanese system performed as intended. By 1964, Japan's national income was approaching the Western European level. This could be measured in the standard of living. In the 1960s, consumers were acquiring the three sacred treasures - television, washing machine and refrigerator. In the 1970s they moved to the three Cs - a car, color television, and air conditioner. When the energy disruptions of the 1970s hit, the Japanese feared that the game was over. However, by the early 1980s, its economy was already rebounding strongly, on the basis of rapid technological adjustments - moving from energy-intensive economy to knowledge-intensive economy - with a new emphasis on efficiency. Japan was now an economic super power.

 

However, the economy was taken over by a huge and intoxicating speculative boom, which started to burst in 1990. In 1992, it went into a deep slump, the most severe economic crisis since the era of high growth had begun. The stock market fell 60 percent, real estate values plunged, and banks loaded up with bad real estate loans teetered on the edge of bankruptcy. The weakness of the financial system proved a persistent drag on recovery. Japan was losing its competitiveness. Confidence among consumers and business eroded. These troubles led to turbulent debate as to whether Japan Inc. was finished. The relationship between government and marketplace needed radical revision with the government to be constrained and economy to be deregulated. The outcome of the debate will determine Japan's economic future.

 

[To be continued]